Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.723961 3.969619 4.233964 4.541505 4.892004 5.282158 5.753816
2025-02-16 3.272111 3.588583 3.947941 4.392378 4.936439 5.593895 6.470647
2025-02-23 2.929867 3.282103 3.698813 4.239989 4.943691 5.859336 7.203232
2025-03-02 2.636332 2.999815 3.443261 4.041483 4.858519 5.991496 7.809152
2025-03-09 2.441352 2.817928 3.290642 3.951971 4.900432 6.306420 8.801193
2025-03-16 2.252597 2.627005 3.106894 3.796833 4.824597 6.433294 9.552152
2025-03-23 2.144341 2.530177 3.036677 3.788611 4.961600 6.929559 11.244052
2025-03-30 2.039688 2.429541 2.951407 3.747230 5.039258 7.348571 13.077556
2025-04-06 1.936101 2.322906 2.848561 3.667297 5.040257 7.629640 14.838299
2025-04-13 1.830987 2.207722 2.725054 3.542853 4.946398 7.701179 16.117332
2025-04-20 1.785208 2.171235 2.711116 3.587454 5.156731 8.481603 20.888351
2025-04-27 1.746932 2.142451 2.705524 3.643826 5.398920 9.441285 29.049038
2025-05-04 1.699485 2.102252 2.686359 3.687316 5.651864 10.646979 46.988314
2025-05-11 1.650195 2.056879 2.656515 3.710670 5.876090 11.968683 95.116241
2025-05-18 1.594673 1.999473 2.604122 3.688983 6.002774 13.125325 312.251868
2025-05-25 1.528909 1.923714 2.517985 3.597360 5.953230 13.642913 165588.989624
2025-06-01 1.481498 1.873128 2.468988 3.570153 6.055180 14.928231 NaN
2025-06-08 1.423808 1.804477 2.386734 3.472073 5.963238 15.296493 NaN
2025-06-15 1.392155 1.773846 2.364701 3.488010 6.170596 17.504930 NaN
2025-06-22 1.356346 1.735157 2.326857 3.468812 6.281934 19.455613 NaN
2025-06-29 1.316147 1.688029 2.272259 3.410784 6.273377 20.688489 NaN
2025-07-06 1.270925 1.631526 2.199208 3.309383 6.121679 20.681292 NaN
2025-07-13 1.253439 1.617480 2.197395 3.354665 6.418005 25.334498 NaN